Saturday, September 11, 2010

Exploiting the Numbers: Michigan

Quick update beore the game.  The line opened with the Irish favored by 4 this week, but that attracted money on the Michigan side, resulting in a bet-down spread of 3.5.  Our friends at the prediction tracker (http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/) have aggregated all the experts and computer models and returned something more like the the opening line:  Irish win by 4.06 on the median, with the average being slightly higher at 4.3.  So take that coworker from Michigan up on his cowardly offer to take the points from you if you have a chance... but it may be a nailbiter.

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